In a dramatic development, U.S. President Donald Trump has reportedly abandoned his plans to attend the 2025 Quad Summit in India, a gathering that was expected to bring together leaders from the United States, India, Japan, and Australia in New Delhi. The decision reflects a sharp deterioration in the relationship between President Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi.
What Sparked the Rift?
1. A Phone Call Gone Awry
Their relationship frayed significantly after a June 17 phone conversation, during which Trump asserted he had brokered the ceasefire between India and Pakistan. Modi firmly rejected the claim, insisting the truce was achieved solely through bilateral military channels.
Adding insult to injury, Trump suggested that India support his rumored Nobel Peace Prize bid—an implication Modi took exception to. After their call, communication between the two leaders reportedly came to a halt.
2. Escalating Trade War
The economic dimension of the fallout worsened matters. The Trump administration first imposed 25% “reciprocal” tariffs on Indian goods, followed by an additional 25% as a penalty for India’s continued purchase of Russian oil—bringing the total levy to a staggering 50%.
India pushed back, decrying the tariffs as unfair and threatening domestic economic consequences including disrupted exports, eroded investor confidence, and even impacts on defense procurement—though New Delhi officially denied halting such contracts.
3. Diplomatic Snubs and Missed Calls
Reports indicate that Modi declined multiple attempts by Trump to initiate further dialogue or meet in person, even reportedly avoiding four calls from the U.S. President. The diplomatic distance between the two has been palpable.
Implications of Trump’s Withdrawal
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Quad Under Pressure
Trump’s absence throws fresh uncertainty over the Quad platform—central to cooperative efforts in the Indo-Pacific on issues like security and infrastructure. -
Geopolitical Realignments
Analysts warn that this rupture could push India closer to Russia or China, reshaping strategic alliances in a fraught global landscape. -
Domestic Repercussions in India
Modi faces scrutiny at home, with critics accusing him of yielding to American pressure. The tariffs themselves threaten up to 70% of India’s exports to the U.S., raising economic and political stakes
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